Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#316
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#312
Pace63.8#269
Improvement+5.6#10

Offense
Total Offense-8.4#334
First Shot-6.0#318
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#324
Layup/Dunks-4.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#229
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+1.9#74

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#227
First Shot-4.3#300
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#5
Layups/Dunks+6.4#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#350
Freethrows+0.8#121
Improvement+3.7#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2016 173   @ LSU L 61-78 12%     0 - 1 -14.7 -13.5 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2016 351   Alabama A&M W 63-55 89%     1 - 1 -15.5 -14.0 -0.4
  Nov 30, 2016 241   South Alabama L 55-78 39%     1 - 2 -30.4 -18.1 -13.1
  Dec 04, 2016 329   @ Jackson St. L 64-75 47%     1 - 3 -20.7 -8.4 -12.7
  Dec 06, 2016 18   @ Florida St. L 49-98 1%     1 - 4 -29.3 -17.5 -9.3
  Dec 10, 2016 223   Tulane L 64-71 35%     1 - 5 -13.4 -11.9 -1.5
  Dec 19, 2016 86   Mississippi St. L 44-86 8%     1 - 6 -36.4 -26.1 -9.3
  Dec 22, 2016 80   San Diego St. L 51-66 7%     1 - 7 -8.8 -9.2 -1.3
  Dec 23, 2016 228   Stephen F. Austin L 64-67 28%     1 - 8 -7.3 -2.3 -5.2
  Dec 25, 2016 264   @ Hawaii L 46-60 25%     1 - 9 -17.5 -21.9 +2.9
  Jan 01, 2017 101   Louisiana Tech L 55-79 13%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -22.3 -17.9 -3.9
  Jan 05, 2017 257   Texas San Antonio W 77-59 41%     2 - 10 1 - 1 +9.9 +7.2 +3.5
  Jan 07, 2017 195   UTEP W 73-65 28%     3 - 10 2 - 1 +3.8 +1.7 +2.3
  Jan 12, 2017 131   @ Old Dominion L 50-54 9%     3 - 11 2 - 2 +0.2 -4.8 +4.1
  Jan 14, 2017 237   @ Charlotte L 66-82 22%     3 - 12 2 - 3 -18.2 -13.2 -4.0
  Jan 19, 2017 315   North Texas W 75-65 60%     4 - 12 3 - 3 -2.9 -3.3 +0.4
  Jan 21, 2017 158   Rice L 58-61 22%     4 - 13 3 - 4 -5.1 -14.0 +8.7
  Jan 26, 2017 56   @ Middle Tennessee L 56-72 3%     4 - 14 3 - 5 -3.9 -1.1 -5.4
  Jan 28, 2017 193   @ UAB L 43-87 15%     4 - 15 3 - 6 -43.1 -25.5 -21.6
  Feb 02, 2017 155   Marshall W 91-76 21%     5 - 15 4 - 6 +13.0 +10.7 +1.8
  Feb 04, 2017 229   Western Kentucky L 47-64 36%     5 - 16 4 - 7 -23.8 -24.5 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2017 257   @ Texas San Antonio L 51-57 24%     5 - 17 4 - 8 -9.0 -12.7 +2.8
  Feb 11, 2017 195   @ UTEP L 50-80 15%     5 - 18 4 - 9 -29.1 -9.0 -27.1
  Feb 16, 2017 276   Florida International W 69-66 OT 46%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -6.4 -7.8 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2017 271   Florida Atlantic L 82-94 46%     6 - 19 5 - 10 -21.2 +21.2 -44.8
  Feb 23, 2017 158   @ Rice L 71-72 OT 11%     6 - 20 5 - 11 +2.0 -7.7 +9.7
  Feb 25, 2017 315   @ North Texas W 76-53 40%     7 - 20 6 - 11 +15.2 +7.4 +10.0
  Mar 04, 2017 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-93 6%     7 - 21 6 - 12 -21.2 -3.2 -18.5
  Mar 08, 2017 158   Rice L 75-86 16%     7 - 22 -10.6 -3.6 -6.3
Projected Record 7.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%